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存储、网络和苹果！知名投行揭秘：年尾AI交易三大关键词六大推荐股_我的网站

鲁豫有约

A | 　　在持续火爆的AI交易势头中，美国知名投行Evercore ISI的分析师 Amit Daryanani认为，存储设备制造商、网络供应商和苹果公司未来将迎来强劲增长。

B |

Illustration: Xia Qing/GT
The yen has weakened in recent days, edging closer to the psychologically important 160 level against the US dollar. The decline comes despite the widely watched move by Washington to join Tokyo in supporting the currency. Less than two weeks after the US-Japan intervention, the yen has given up roughly half of its gains, raising fresh questions over the effectiveness of coordinated efforts to stabilize the exchange rate.
Japan and the US had previously confirmed coordinated foreign exchange intervention to prop up the yen after the currency tumbled to a nearly 40-year low. At the time, some observers saw the move as potentially stabilizing the yen in the short term, although its longer-term impact remained uncertain.
However, the subsequent market reaction suggests that even the short-term effect may have been limited. After strengthening to about 155 per dollar in the days following the intervention from above 163, the yen had slipped back above 159 by Wednesday, less than two weeks later.
Questions have emerged over whether further support for the yen may soon be needed, and whether Washington would consider stepping in again. The previous intervention was seen by some observers as a test of market confidence: the unusual coordinated move had the potential to influence market expectations and discourage bets against the yen. But if market expectations remain largely unchanged, repeated interventions could deliver diminishing returns. The US may face a difficult trade-off. Another intervention could require greater resources and come at a higher cost, while refraining from further action could raise questions over the lasting impact of the previous effort.
Market commentary has added to the uncertainty. Axios published a report headlined "Yen's weakness shows market isn't done pushing," while some reports suggested that the impact of the US-Japan intervention was beginning to fade. Such narratives could weigh on sentiment toward the yen and reinforce market expectations that the currency's weakness may persist.
Washington's involvement in supporting the yen may reflect broader economic and policy considerations. These could include avoiding a scenario in which Japan sells US Treasury holdings to support the currency, as well as concerns that a weaker yen could give Japanese exporters a greater competitive advantage. These possible considerations suggest that the intervention alone does not fully address the underlying forces behind the yen's weakness. This may help explain why the market has so far been reluctant to view the move as a turning point for the currency.
Washington's decision to join the intervention may have reflected concerns, as some observers suggest, that the yen's prolonged weakness had begun to affect US interests. If markets remain unconvinced by the US-Japan intervention, one possible outcome is that Washington could push Japan to take more costly measures to support the yen. Such a scenario could instead create some strain between Washington and Tokyo.
Beyond short-term market dynamics, the yen's weakness also reflects deeper challenges facing the Japanese economy, making a sustained reversal difficult. The currency's prolonged weakness has been influenced by the interest rate gap between Japan and the US, while also reflecting longer-term concerns over the diminishing returns of Japan's traditional growth model.
This leaves Japan facing a delicate policy balance between supporting growth and stabilizing the currency. While lower interest rates could help boost economic activity, continued weakness in the yen may strengthen calls for Japan's central bank to consider further rate increases to narrow the interest rate gap with the US.
Japan's structural challenges mean that a sustained appreciation of the yen will not be easy to achieve. The question of whether to pursue stronger measures, even at the cost of some economic growth, has become more complicated as the US takes a role in the issue. Japan may face greater pressure to support the currency, even though doing so would be difficult and could carry broader economic costs.
The author is a reporter with the Global Times. [email protected]

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C | 　　在给客户的最新报告中，Daryanani推荐了2026年下半年“最值得持有的六大人工智能（AI）股票”，其中包括存储设备制造商和网络供应商，由于今年以来在人工智能硬件方面的强劲支出，这些公司已经为投资者带来了丰厚的利润。　　具体而言，他指出，存储设备的强劲需求让他和他的团队对希捷科技和西部数据的股票未来上涨前景充满信心。

D | 　　Daryanani认为，随着存储产品供应持续紧张，希捷的定价能力有望进一步提升。

E | 该公司还拥有“两年的技术领先优势，并且这一优势还在不断扩大”，其Mozaic 3+硬盘存储平台已通过认证，并在主要超大规模数据中心投入运营。　　他还补充道，与此同时，Mozaic 4+平台正在与全球两大云服务提供商合作，加速产能提升。他表示，后续的Mozaic 5+平台预计将于明年晚些时候开始出货，并接受客户的认证。　　Daryanani表示，推理和智能体人工智能带来的数据生成加速，将进一步提振西部数据的股价。

F | 他还对西部数据计划在研发投入后将所有自由现金流返还给股东表示赞赏。　　今年以来，西部数据公司的股票上涨了170%，而希捷公司的股票上涨了207%。

G | 网络供应商　　另一方面，在数据中心网络供应商中，Daryanani和他的团队提到了线缆连接器巨头安费诺（Amphenol）、美国云网络和交换机巨头Arista Networks和思科系统公司（Cisco Systems）。具体而言：　　安费诺：在他看来，人工智能的需求、安费诺在扩大收购规模方面的优势以及其多元化的终端市场，使其有能力在今年及以后“跑赢大盘”。　　此外，该公司在铜缆和光纤AI连接器领域处于领先地位。

H | 因此，Daryanani表示，对于那些在铜缆和光纤组件之间犹豫不决的客户而言，该公司是“首选的连接合作伙伴”。

I | 　　而且，他还认为，安费诺不仅在人工智能领域，而且在其他领域也有机会受益，因为该公司还生产互连系统和天线解决方案，服务于国防和工业市场。　　Arista Networks：Daryanani表示，云客户群的多元化将对Arista Networks的发展起到推动作用，他预计该公司未来三到四年将实现“超高速增长”。他还指出，部分增长也可能得益于其面向企业的园区网络架构的上线。　　Daryanani还表示，网络领域的潜在市场总量应该会继续显著增长，而Arista Networks正在向规模化网络领域扩张，此时该领域对市场的影响也越来越大。　　思科：Daryanani认为思科在2027财年（始于 7 月）有增长潜力，因为网络更新周期可能会带来“第二波增长”，超出其此前预测的75亿美元人工智能收入（该收入已得到现有订单的支持）。　　Daryanani还表示，思科的Silicon One可编程网络架构由于其从芯片到系统设计的全栈方法，对博通的解决方案具有“相当大的”竞争机会。苹果公司　　最后，Daryanani和他的团队也对苹果公司的产品和功能路线图持乐观态度。他表示，iPhone的生命周期“依然具有吸引力”。　　“被压抑的需求、iPhone 18 Pro的上市周期以及预计的折叠屏手机发布，应该会支撑需求和（平均售价），尤其是在基础款iPhone 18延迟发布的情况下。”他补充道。　　Daryanani表示，尽管一些投资者对苹果智能技术和人工智能驱动的Siri持怀疑态度，但这些功能的成功实施“可能会延长iPhone的生命周期，推动升级换代，并解锁新的盈利机会”。随着对AI工具的需求不断增长，Daryanani认为，苹果未来可能会找到更多从中获利的方式。　　他还指出，尽管苹果应用商店面临压力，但其服务业务在过去12个季度仍保持了两位数的增长。